OddsOrbit

Prediction markets · Bitcoin

Trade probabilities,
not predictions.

OddsOrbit is a prediction market for Bitcoin price, halving cycles, ETF flows, hashrate and policy outcomes. Buy YES or NO shares; settle in stablecoin when the question resolves.

Get startedBrowse markets
Total volume
$184.2M
Active markets
284
Resolved
11,406
Featured marketCloses 41d

Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 by Dec 31?

Volume $8.4M4,210 traders

02 — Markets

Open positions on what happens next.

  • № 01

    Bitcoin closes above $120,000 in Q4

    72%
    $4.2M
    21d

  • № 02

    Halving cycle peak exceeds prior ATH 2x

    41%
    $9.8M
    118d

  • № 03

    Spot ETF surpasses $10B AUM by Jan 31

    58%
    $2.7M
    62d

  • № 04

    Mempool fees exceed 200 sat/vB this month

    23%
    $880K
    9d

  • № 05

    Network hashrate exceeds 800 EH/s before equinox

    67%
    $1.4M
    44d

  • № 06

    A G20 nation announces Bitcoin reserves this year

    19%
    $11.3M
    204d

03 — How it works

From thesis to settled position in three steps.

01

Pick a market

Browse markets across price, halving, ETF flows, hashrate and policy. Each has a clear resolution date and source.

02

Buy YES or NO

Shares trade between 1¢ and 99¢ — the price is the implied probability. Pay in stablecoin; size your position with one click.

03

Settle on resolution

When the market resolves, winning shares pay out at $1.00 and losing shares at $0.00. Withdraw to any wallet, instantly.

04 — Live activity

Real positions. Real conviction.

Recent tradesLive
  • 0x4a…91c2YES$14,200BTC > $120K · Q4
  • 0x9b…7e0aNO$800Halving 2x ATH
  • 0xc1…3f44YES$3,400ETF AUM > $10B
  • 0x2d…58a1YES$6,100Hashrate > 800 EH/s
  • 0xee…b3c7NO$2,000G20 BTC reserve
  • 0x77…12ddNO$1,200Mempool > 200 sat/vB
Top traders · 30d
10x4a…91c2+$148,64071%
20xee…b3c7+$92,40066%
30x9b…7e0a+$74,18062%
40xc1…3f44+$58,91059%
50x2d…58a1+$44,02057%

05 — Pricing

Simple plans. Transparent fees.

Trader

Free

Open trading account, full market access, USDC settlement.

  • All 284 markets
  • Maker / taker · 0.20% / 0.40%
  • Standard withdrawals
Sign up

Pro

POPULAR
$29/mo

Lower fees, deeper analytics, priority support, API access.

  • Maker / taker · 0.05% / 0.20%
  • Real-time quote API · 250 rps
  • Historical resolution data
Start free trial

Institutional

Talk to us

Custom limits, segregated wallets, dedicated relationship manager.

  • Custom maker / taker pricing
  • Compliance & audit reporting
  • Cold-storage settlement
Contact sales

Settlement in USDC · No hidden fees · Cancel anytime